Musa gives Ethiopia a port and a military base on the Gulf of Aden. It's over

Kizaru

Cast in the name of God Ye not Guilty
majority would head up north to north africa and to europe, whats left would make their way to kenya and a small minority would try their luck in somalia
I doubt eruope will accept them. They hate africans and arab migrants as it seems.
 

Kizaru

Cast in the name of God Ye not Guilty
Btw I don't think there are 40 million armed Ethiopians lol.. The millions you see are mostly civilians.
there are a few million armed but most are civilians who will be forced to leave. Just look at what they did to tigrayan civilians. Atleast 400,000 thought to be dead.
 
Finally they are framing the narrative and situation correctly to the outside world. This is a poor attempt at annexation. Not a trade deal gone wrong, or a vague indiscretion by a neighbour, but a clear cut rejection of a hostile annexation attempt by a foreign country.


 

seldiboy

Resident Eritrean | Ye's strongest soldier
yes. 100 million. They would over run our folks in the somali galbeed and probably over run our people in the north and south of the our border. It would be a very wild place. The violence could be something we have never seen. You see how they hate each other. How can somalis stop a 100 mllion population influx. It would probably cripple the countries ethnic population
Unlikely they flee Ethiopia. Most just carry on as IDP’s. Places like Gambella, Benishangul-Gumuz, and the Southern regions of Ethiopia are likely to stay peaceful and take in a lot of refugees
 
Abiye thought if Putin can do it why not me too.. Lemme grap this easy piece of coast while the weak Somalis are squabbling among themselves.
Except in Bixiye, Abiy has a willing partner offering land on a silver platter whereas in Ukraine at least Zelenskyy is resisting.

Finally they are framing the narrative and situation correctly to the outside world. This is a poor attempt at annexation. Not a trade deal gone wrong, or a vague indiscretion by a neighbour, but a clear cut rejection of a hostile annexation attempt by a foreign country.


They should let Xamze do the talking on behalf of the Fed. gov't, and no one else, as they seem unable to stay on message, or even frame it. They are very confusing. He is much more eloquent, on point, and content of his message speaks to the heart of matter.
 
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Typical Ethiopians already bootyclapping for the only white master that is left and that is willing to support them. This bootyclapping for the white folks fever is literally imbued in the average ethiopian persons genes.

Doubt the French will do anything that jeopardises the interest of Djibouti. Abiy seems lonely and Ethiopia has become a full on pariah state. It’s worth noting that Ethiopia Is ridden with conflict, bankrupt and has recently defaulted on its loan. Perhaps this is his threat to the world that seems to have ignored him and his loan restructuring pleas.
Somalia should use this opportunity to kick Ethiopian troops out and build the capability of the SNA with heavy weapons.
 

Aseer

A man without a 🐫 won't be praised in afterlife
VIP
Doubt the French will do anything that jeopardises the interest of Djibouti. Abiy seems lonely and Ethiopia has become a full on pariah state. It’s worth noting that Ethiopia Is ridden with conflict, bankrupt and has recently defaulted on its loan. Perhaps this is his threat to the world that seems to have ignored him and his loan restructuring pleas.
Somalia should use this opportunity to kick Ethiopian troops out and build the capability of the SNA with heavy weapons.
I know the french will do anything but these ethiopians have reached a new level of bootyclapping by bootyclapping with all their heart out of desperation for ANY global support its like in those death game movies where the person goes to the group they were associated with and beg them to let him rejoin and not let him be alone but they push him off :ftw9nwa:
 

Pastoralist

Dhib marku wah nokdo, Isku tiirsada
VIP
Day 18 since MOU announcement and troop movement from Ethiopia

0 troop movement from HSM’s Somalia. All diplomacy, purchase of weapons, and agreements. No combat readiness applied.
 

Pastoralist

Dhib marku wah nokdo, Isku tiirsada
VIP
It's not impossible. Many war plans must have been drawn up including this possibility.
No bro HSM has a soft spot for the secessionists. Idk his reer abti but his demeanour with them thus far says he treats them as such.

HSM to abiy: Do you want war?😡

HSM to Bihi: Bihi can come to mogadishu anytime he’d like to speak about the MOU🥰
 
HSM has spoken in the past about his approach to Somaliland which is to give them everything they want but independence and to undermine independence efforts with lobbying in the US and in international groups.

This was never really going to work for obvious reasons and in Somalilands case it's a poor strategy to leave yourself reliant on a President.

Anyway, I'm sure he sees Somaliland as a problem now that needs to be solved militarily because he knows there's nothing he can offer short of independence that will satisfy them.

Regime change in Hargeisa is his last option.
 

Pastoralist

Dhib marku wah nokdo, Isku tiirsada
VIP

We are awake and watching. So far HSM is a Emmy award winning actor, but fails to address the aggressive actions ethiopia has taken after claiming “for each move they make, we’ll make 4”. His words don’t match his actions.

No words from our defence minister or the NISA director which are our most critical assets in this battle.
 

We are awake and watching. So far HSM is a Emmy award winning actor, but fails to address the aggressive actions ethiopia has taken after claiming “for each move they make, we’ll make 4”. His words don’t match his actions.

No words from our defence minister or the NISA director which are our most critical assets in this battle.

He's bluffing.

He tried to make some moves but they all got blocked. He's trying Egypt again now.
 

Pastoralist

Dhib marku wah nokdo, Isku tiirsada
VIP
He's bluffing.

He tried to make some moves but they all got blocked. He's trying Egypt again now.
If your referring to turkey. There’s a lot of bad blood between them and HSM. He allowed their military base inside Somalia to be bugged with UAE spyware and got them in trouble with UN for giving drones to Somalia.

Turkey would literally train 10k Somalis effective immediately, but they just really don’t like the current president. What they’re doing for HSM right now is not even 1/10 of what they would do if a non UAE aligned president was leading.
 
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